Monday Morning Weather Xtreme: A Few Heavy Storms, Possibly Severe Tonight: The Alabama Weather Blog
MONDAY 21/06/21 – MORNING EDITION
Forecaster: Scott Martin / Bill Murray
No video this morning
Due to a scheduling issue, there will be no video this morning. We will resume our one-day vacation schedule tomorrow.
Thunderstorms this afternoon and evening – Some strong to severe
With moisture content still quite high in the Claudette area, today there will be a good chance of scattered to numerous showers and storms in central Alabama before a cold front approaches. The skies will be partly to mostly cloudy with highs reaching the mid-1980s. There will also be breezes at times, with winds of 10 to 15 mph with occasional higher gusts.
Here is the SPC Day One Outlook showing marginal risk (1/5) for areas along and northwest of I-59:
A few storms during the evening and overnight can become strong or even severe over areas along and northwest of I-59. Destructive gusts of wind will be possible, as well as heavy rains. Make sure your method of receiving warnings is turned on during the night and can wake you up, just in case.
Storms will be in a weakening phase as midnight approaches, and the severe threat will subside by early morning.
The cold front is moving through the area on Tuesday and we will start with rain and thunderstorms like the morning, but the drier air is moving quickly behind the front with most of the northern half of central Alabama dry by noon. The front will continue to move southeast, bringing activity with it. By midnight much of the activity will be out of the southern half with the exception of a few persistent showers. The peaks will be between the mid-70s and the lower 80s.
The front will stagnate over southern parts of the state, keeping the risk of scattered showers and thunderstorms in the forecast Wednesday and Thursday for the southern third of central Alabama, while much of the remainder of the area will be with the exception of a few isolated showers during the afternoon hours each day. Wednesday’s highs will be between the low to mid-80s, while Thursday’s highs will be between the mid to high 80s.
The front will return north and reintroduce a chance of isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms throughout central Alabama on Friday. We could see an increased risk of showers and thunderstorms late in the far north of the region as another wave of energy tries to move through the region. The peaks will be between the mid to high 80s.
Central Alabama Weekend
We will continue to have volatile weather in our north, but the energy will be close enough that scattered showers and storms are possible north of the I-20 corridor on Saturday and Sunday, while only a few isolated showers will be possible south of it. The peaks will be in the 80s on both days.
Precipitation amounts forecast for the coming week
The latest precipitation forecast from WPC shows a potential of about 2 to 3 inches of rain through noon Sunday in central Alabama. Due to the scattered nature of much of the precipitation, totals can be less than 2 inches in places, while some localized places can exceed 3 inches.
Projected temperatures this week and this weekend
Summer is now officially here, but the good news is temperatures appear to stay a bit cooler than average this week as highs will be throughout the ’80s with the exception of Tuesday. A cold front is moving and will bring these peaks back from the mid-70s to the low 80s.
Claudette is back this morning, officially a new tropical storm over eastern North Carolina. The winds are now at 40 mph. The movement was east-northeast at 28 mph. East-northeast to northeast movement with some increase in forward speed is expected over the next few days. On its intended track, the system is expected to cross the coast of North Carolina to the western Atlantic Ocean on Monday and pass near or just south of Nova Scotia on Tuesday. Some further strengthening is possible over the western Atlantic Ocean until Tuesday morning. Claudette is expected to become a post-tropical cyclone on Tuesday afternoon or Tuesday evening.
For now, the rest of the Atlantic basin is free from any tropical cyclones. However, the GFS is trying to cause disruption in the Western Caribbean, Yucatan, the southwestern Gulf of Mexico by the end of the month. It sounds plausible and we will watch. This corresponds to when an upward momentum of the Madden Julian Oscillation will pass through the region, which can sometimes promote tropical development.
This day in meteorological history
1886… A destructive hurricane struck the Apalachicola – Tallahassee region in Florida during the summer solstice. Extensive damage was caused in Florida and throughout the Southeast by this storm. The damage was mainly due to extremely high tides.
1987… A tornado destroyed 57 mobile homes in the Chateam Estates trailer park in northwest Detroit MI, killing one and injuring six others. Total damage was estimated at $ 1.7 million. Thunderstorms over lower Michigan also inundated the Saginaw Valley with up to 4.5 inches of rain in less than six hours.
Beach forecast center
Get the latest weather and current forecasts for beaches from Dauphin Island, AL, to Panama City Beach, FL, on our Beach Forecast Center page. There you can select the forecast for the region you are interested in.
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